Failed episodes exhibit systematically more negative temporal curvature kappa across all six task-LLM pairings, with correct minus incorrect mean differences of: Math (Llama-3.1-8B) +0.047, Code (Qwen3-14B) +0.148, Retail (Qwen3-14B) +0.030, Airline (Qwen3-14B) +0.049, Retail (Qwen3-32B) +0.035, and Airline (Qwen3-32B) +0.088.

Failed episodes exhibit systematically more negative temporal curvature kappa across all six task-LLM pairings, with correct minus incorrect mean differences of: Math (Llama-3.1-8B) +0.047, Code (Qwen3-14B) +0.148, Retail (Qwen3-14B) +0.030, Airline (Qwen3-14B) +0.049, Retail (Qwen3-32B) +0.035, and Airline (Qwen3-32B) +0.088. · CiteArk

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指标与条件	论文报告	最近可用实测	证据判断
task: Math · model: Llama-3.1-8B	0.047 scalar	—	尚未评估
task: Code · model: Qwen3-14B	0.148 scalar	—	尚未评估
task: Retail · model: Qwen3-14B	0.03 scalar	—	尚未评估
task: Airline · model: Qwen3-14B	0.049 scalar	—	尚未评估
task: Retail · model: Qwen3-32B	0.035 scalar	—	尚未评估
task: Airline · model: Qwen3-32B	0.088 scalar	—	尚未评估

报告指标与观测值

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测量结果